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Newsletter · 1 June 2026

Market Brief — May 2026

Gold market in May 2026

Gold slipped 0.64% in May as competing forces kept the market in check.

Gold opened the month at SGD 187.18/g and closed at SGD 185.99/g — a -0.64% move. The monthly range ran from SGD 180.63/g to SGD 192.65/g (USD 4395.48/oz to USD 4687.97/oz on the international market).

Three drivers

Risk appetite returned and weighed on gold — After months of investor nervousness, confidence in equities and riskier assets quietly returned in May. When investors feel safer, they tend to move money out of safe-haven assets like gold and into shares — and that's exactly what happened. Gold opened the month at SGD 187.19/g (USD 4,554.84/oz) and closed at SGD 185.99/g (USD 4,525.75/oz), a modest but clear reflection of that shift in mood.

US-Iran talks unsettled energy and bond markets — Ongoing US-Iran peace negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz dominated headlines in the final week of May. The prospect of a deal pushed oil prices down and softened major bond yields in the US, Germany, Japan, and the UK. For gold, the picture was mixed: lower oil and yields would normally ease inflation pressure and reduce gold's appeal as a hedge, but slower global economic momentum in China and the Eurozone kept demand for safety from disappearing entirely.

A weak dollar and ETF buying cushioned the fall — Even as risk appetite rose, a softer US dollar provided a floor for gold prices through much of the month. European investors led a wave of ETF inflows — when the dollar weakens, gold priced in USD becomes cheaper for buyers holding euros or pounds, which tends to draw fresh demand. That support helped gold avoid a sharper decline despite the headwinds, keeping the monthly loss to less than one percent.

Did you know? — Safe-haven demand

When financial markets get nervous — think falling stock prices, political shocks, or banking scares — investors often move money into assets they believe will hold their value no matter what. Gold has played this role for centuries, and the pattern still shows up in modern price data: gold frequently rises when equities fall sharply. The mechanism isn't magic; it's millions of investors independently reaching for the same thing at the same time. What made May interesting is that the reverse happened — as confidence returned to equity markets, some of that safe-haven money flowed back out of gold. Understanding this push-pull helps explain why gold doesn't just go up in a straight line.

Things worth knowing

Why bond yields and gold often move together — When long-term government bond yields fall, the opportunity cost of holding gold — which pays no interest — also falls, making gold relatively more attractive. In the final week of May, US, German, Japanese, and UK bond yields all softened as oil prices dropped on Hormuz deal hopes, which provided a modest lift to gold prices at the end of the month. The relationship isn't perfectly reliable, but watching major bond yields is one of the cleaner short-term signals gold watchers track.

Gold's monthly range told a bigger story — While the month-end change was just -0.64%, the intramonth range was considerably wider — gold touched a high of SGD 192.66/g and a low of SGD 180.64/g during May. That SGD 12.02/g swing shows how much can happen beneath a headline number. Customers who buy in smaller, regular amounts across a month naturally average across that range rather than landing on any single point in it.

ETF inflows can signal institutional sentiment — Gold ETFs — exchange-traded funds that hold physical gold on behalf of investors — saw net inflows in April and into May, led by European buyers. When large numbers of institutional investors buy into ETFs, it adds real demand for physical gold, since the funds must purchase and hold the metal. Tracking ETF flows is one way analysts gauge whether professional money is moving toward or away from gold at any given time.